Five thoughts in quick reflection on this devastating election loss.
First, modern conservatives -- as presently constituted -- are incapable of winning national elections. We conservatives have relied on a three-part coalition for years: social cons, low-tax-and-spend cons, and national defense cons. But that coalition can't get it done anymore, at least not with a white male candidate and poor messaging. Democrats have won four of the last six presidential elections, and the two won by Republicans were by far the closest of those six. Every election, conservatives have to write off hugely populated California and New York -- and only two of the eleven most populous states are "safe" Republican states. By contrast, six are safe for Democrats.
Please don't fool yourself into thinking, "We'll win if we get our base to the polls!" That America is past, for now. The old coalition can no longer win for at least two reasons:
- The demography of America has changed. A rapidly increasing percentage of Americans are non-white. Further, single women now outnumber married women. We are not only racially and gender-diverse but also, unfortunately, race- and gender-balkanized. Conservatives must engage these changes -- not by watering down our beliefs but by learning to communicate them to a different America.
- The character of Americans has changed. Americans increasingly feel entitled to the goods that government can provide, even at the expense of others. Frankly, I'm not sure what can be done about this, short of America hitting rock-bottom. Also, an increasing percentage of Americans claim no religion. Out-of-wedlock births are skyrocketing. And Americans' views of morality are far more licentious than they used to be. Only God can change hearts.
Second, the presidency of George W. Bush was in some ways a failure. Not because of terrible policies, but rather because he allowed his legacy to be as the chief foil in Barack Obama's two successful campaigns. Bush must share some blame for the disastrous legacy of Obama.
Third, let the name of Chris Christie never again be uttered in Republican circles. No money to his 2013 New Jersey reelection campaign. No money for his presidential run in 2016. I don't care why he did those post-Sandy photo ops with Obama; they were a momentum killer and possibly the back-breaker to Romney's chances. He knew what he was doing, and he is a traitor. Throw him in the heap with Michael Bloomberg and Charlie Crist.
Fourth, the U.S. House of Representatives is our only bulwark against the aggressive liberalism of a second-term Obama. Our Representatives must investigate corruption and oppose bad policy at every turn. Get your Congressman on speed dial!
Fifth, let the rebuilding of conservatism begin. We should begin where the Democrats have lived for generations -- in media and education. The Internet is ours to seize. And while the traditional educational system is lost to liberals, we can become citizen-educators who communicate conservative principles to people who have not traditionally considered them. This will be a lengthy process, but now is a great time to start. Now is the time for ideas -- what have we got to lose?
Sixth, let the rebuilding of the Republican party begin. Who will be the GOP's new standard-bearer? Kelly Ayotte, Ted Cruz, Luis Fortuno, Nikki Haley, Bobby Jindal, Susana Martinez, Cathy McMorris Rodgers, Marco Rubio, or Brian Sandoval. Maybe Condi Rice if she has a change of heart. Maybe Tim Scott once he becomes more seasoned. Sorry, Paul Ryan, Rand Paul, Mike Pence, and John Thune, but you cannot be the face of a national Republican party right now. My vote is for Jindal or Martinez -- two governors -- with a strong edge to Jindal. But Cruz could be a superstar.
A closing, sad thought:
“I have a dream that my four little children will one day live in a nation where they will not be judged by the color of their skin but by the content of their character.”
--MLK
Alas, that dream has not come true, and I don't think we will for quite awhile.
God bless, friends. Thanks for reading.